Your Ship Didn't Need an Enemy To Lose This Turn
In Gravity, the power you route through your own ship carries a risk the enemy captain never touches. That's worth planning for separately.
Push one more line of power through a shield conduit to survive this turn's volley, and you haven't just spent power. You've taken on overload risk that has nothing to do with what the other captain locked in. You can read their move perfectly and still lose the ship to a decision nobody across the table made.
The bet that isn't about the enemy
Gravity's premise is that both captains commit orders before the turn resolves, so most of what gets said about the game is about that uncertainty: what did they lock in, how do you plan around not knowing. That's one real bet. A quieter one sits right next to it. Power routing, conduits, shields, life support, and repairs all compete inside the same locked decision window, and the overload risk that comes with pushing them lives entirely on your side of the table. The enemy's orders never touch it either way.
Two bets, one turn
Treat those as separate questions, because they don't share an answer. "Will this attack land" depends on what your opponent committed to. "What does this routing choice risk on my own ship" depends on nothing but the choice itself. A captain who only plays the first question is still gambling on the second one, just without noticing they made a bet at all.
A habit, not a vibe
Before locking a turn that pushes a system past its safe range, name the cost out loud, even just to yourself: which system is taking the risk, and what actually happens if it fails. A shield pushed to its limit to survive one volley is still a shield that might fail on its own the turn after, independent of anything the enemy throws at it. That's a different failure mode than losing a fight, and it deserves a different kind of planning.
What that changes before you lock in
Price overload risk the same way you'd price power cost: as something you're spending, not something that happens to you. Once you're tracking both bets instead of one, a lot of "bad luck" losses turn out to be turns you planned the fight and skipped planning the ship.
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